Jun 11, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton (0) celebrates together with his bench through the fourth quarter in opposition to the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder in sport three of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Obligatory Credit score: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Pictures Whether or not you’re a fan of the Thunder or Pacers, looking for the most effective NBA Finals bets for Sport 5 has been a problem. That’s why I’m taking a barely completely different method for Monday, June 16.
I’ve break up this record into two sections — one for these backing the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and one for bettors using with the Indiana Pacers.
Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder: Greatest Bets for Sport 5
Thunder -9.5
Oklahoma Metropolis has been the NBA’s greatest house workforce this season, going 35-6 through the common season with a median margin of victory of 16.5 factors. Within the playoffs, they’re 9-2 at house, profitable by a median of greater than 26 factors. A few blowouts have inflated that quantity, however one factor is obvious:
The Thunder are at their most dominant on house courtroom.
Through the Western Convention finals, OKC gained its house video games by a median of 18 factors. And of their one house win over Indiana on this collection, the Thunder cruised to a 16-point victory — completely in step with their regular-season development.
Anticipate one other double-digit win as they cowl the unfold.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 34.5 Factors (-108)
The MVP averaged 32.7 factors per sport through the common season and 30.4 through the playoffs. If the Thunder are going to take management of the collection, SGA must prepared the ground on their house flooring.
He dropped 38 factors in Sport 1 — and OKC nonetheless misplaced.
That simply proves he can’t do it alone. Jalen Williams or Chet Holmgren should step up, too. But when Gilgeous-Alexander doesn’t have a monster sport, the Thunder could possibly be headed again to Indianapolis trailing 3-2.
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Indiana Pacers: Greatest Bets for Sport 5
Pacers Moneyline
After OKC’s livid fourth-quarter comeback in Sport 4 to tie the collection 2-2, many have written the Pacers off. However right here’s the truth: Indiana has not trailed on this collection till that late collapse.
The Pacers can completely steal Sport 5.
The important thing? Limiting errors — particularly turnovers and pointless fouls. Of their two losses, Indiana was outscored on the free-throw line by 10 and 9 factors, respectively. Once they keep disciplined, they will match up with anybody on each ends of the courtroom — together with the Thunder.
A cautious bettor would possibly take the factors, understanding OKC’s double-digit house wins are a development. However in the event you consider the Pacers will get it carried out, why not take them to win outright?
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 30.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-112)
Indiana doesn’t depend on a single 30-point scorer to compete — however they do want a robust all-around effort from Haliburton.
He almost posted a triple-double in Sport 3 and put up a 14-10-6 stat line in Sport 1. He hit 33-plus mixed factors, assists and rebounds in all 4 wins in opposition to the Knicks within the earlier spherical. However in Sport 4 in opposition to OKC, he tallied simply 18 factors with two rebounds and 7 assists — not almost sufficient.
If the Pacers are going to drag off the upset in Sport 5, Haliburton will want a full, stat-sheet-stuffing efficiency.
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