Sanju Samson, Rahul Dravid have little to no probability

The consequences of the Indian Premier League (IPL) 2025 mega public sale have been hurting the Rajasthan Royals (RR) massively. They misplaced the likes of Jos Buttler, Yuzvendra Chahal, and Trent Boult, amongst many different key gamers, and are actually reeling within the backside half of the IPL 2025 factors desk. Nicely, the Sanju Samson-led facet technically has round only a 1% probability of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs after RR’s loss to Delhi Capitals (DC) on April 16 and LSG on April 19.

RR’s run at IPL 2025 to this point

Rajasthan dealt an enormous blow after they misplaced Sanju Samson, the captain for the primary three video games. Riyan Parag was made the captain, and he led RR to their first win, in opposition to CSK, within the third recreation. The profitable run continued when Samson got here again as captain in a high-scoring recreation in opposition to the Punjab Kings. However that was it. The following two video games noticed them lose by complete margins of 58 runs and 9 wickets in opposition to GT & RCB, respectively.

Now, in opposition to the Delhi Capitals, RR succumbed to their third consecutive defeat in a completely thrilling Tremendous Over conflict. That nail-biting loss to DC put RR’s qualification probabilities within the mud, as they now want mainly a spotless second half of the match. They’ve received simply two out of their 9 matches.

RR Playoff probabilities, in the event that they win 6 out of seven

Very like Chennai and SRH, the Rajasthan Royals’ highway to the IPL 2025 playoffs is steep, however mathematically, it’s nonetheless very attainable. With solely 2 wins from their first 8 matches, Sanju Samson’s facet wants a severe turnaround. The best route? Win all of their remaining 6 matches. That may push them to 16 factors — maybe a assured ticket to the playoffs. However to anticipate an ideal streak from a group battling inconsistency is extra hopeful than sensible.

Right here’s how their path to the playoffs shapes up:

Sanju Samson has a troublesome path forward

Because the IPL’s growth to 10 groups, 16 factors have nearly all the time ensured playoff qualification. If RR can handle 6 wins from their remaining 5 video games, they’ll end with 14 factors — not sufficient to ensure qualification. The margin for error is razor-thin.

RR’s playoff hopes have dimmed additional after their loss to RCB. With solely 5 matches left, they will at greatest attain 14 factors, a complete that will not be sufficient to ensure a spot within the playoffs. The upcoming fixtures don’t get any simpler, with essential matches in opposition to GT and Mumbai Indians, each of whom are in nice type. RR might want to pull off a miracle to win each these video games after which hope to triumph of their remaining matches as nicely. Even then, their destiny would depend upon different groups’ outcomes and a major enchancment of their internet run price. Given their present type, it’s robust to see RR making it to the playoffs.

Remaining IPL 2025 matches for Rajasthan Royals